China’s carbon neutral goal: mainland companies seen trailing global peers by 2050, Fidelity survey shows

“We need much closer to 100 per cent of companies achieving [their national] global carbon neutral objectives,” said Jenn-Hui Tan, global head of stewardship and sustainable investing at Fidelity. 

China’s carbon neutral goal: mainland companies seen trailing global peers by 2050, Fidelity survey shows

Chinese companies must step up their efforts to reduce greenhouse gases to help the nation attain its long-term goals, with a market survey suggesting they will trail global peers on carbon-neutral push by mid-century.

Only 54 per cent of mainland firms are seen achieving carbon neutrality by 2050, according to Fidelity International, compared with 75 per cent among European companies, and 65 per cent for peers in Asia excluding China and Japan. The average in North America and globally is seen at about 64 per cent, its survey shows.

Fidelity, with US$542 billion of assets globally, disclosed the findings based on a survey of 144 analysts at the UK fund manager who regularly interact with companies globally.

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“We need much closer to 100 per cent of companies achieving [their national] global carbon neutral objectives,” said Jenn-Hui Tan, global head of stewardship and sustainable investing at Fidelity. “We as investors have the responsibility to nudge companies in that direction and we expect their targets to become more ambitious.”

China, the largest carbon dioxide emitter with about 30 per cent of world output, aims to reduce net carbon emissions to zero by 2060 in a plan unveiled last September. That means any residual emissions must be offset by removing the same amount from the atmosphere in that year.

China’s 2060 goal, along with a target for carbon emissions to peak before 2030, is critical to the global climate-change agenda. The Paris Agreement aims to cap global warming at 1.5 degrees Celsius by 2100.

Japan and South Korea have each unveiled pledges to do so by 2050, in line with the European Union’s commitment a year ago. President Joe Biden wants the US to match those thresholds as well.

Among global energy firms, only 2 per cent of them comprising mainly oil, gas and coal producers are expected to achieve “net zero” emissions by 2030 before rising to 29 per cent by 2050, the survey by industry breakdown shows.

“This illustrates the structural difficulties in transitioning entire business models given the existing way we produce energy,” Tan said at a webinar on Tuesday. This shows ample opportunities for new technologies and projects to address the challenge, Tan added.

Power utilities are projected to fare better, with 20 per cent potentially reaching carbon neutral in 2030, rising to 69 per cent by 2050.

Telecommunications firms are tipped to achieve the best results relative to the ambitions in the Paris agreement. Some 95 per cent of them are expected to attain net-zero emission by 2050, followed by 73 per cent of both information technology and financial companies.

Fidelity expects to announce its own 2030 targets before the next United Nations Climate Change Conference in November, by aligning the proportion of its assets under management to the goals. The firm is building methodologies to assess carbon reduction performances and risk exposure to climate change of companies it invests in.

China signalled over the weekend that its online carbon emission trading system could start by June after several delays. Power-generating companies, which are responsible for just over 40 per cent of the nation’s carbon emission, however will see minimal impact in the first year of the roll-out of mandatory carbon emission quotas trading.

“At the current stage it is not very aggressive,” said Flora Wang, a Fidelity director responsible for sustainable investing. “We expect little [profit] impact near term. “Generators with a bigger proportion of their output from renewable energy may actually make money out of it. But we do expect the quotas reduction to accelerate from 2025 onwards.”

Originally published at South China morning post